Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 5.439166 6.121590 6.867345 7.744563 8.750398 9.870225 11.214942
2024-12-29 4.594748 5.530179 6.632693 8.035118 9.781592 11.897832 14.675899
2025-01-05 3.933863 4.974401 6.271502 8.021684 10.343493 13.348615 17.582511
2025-01-12 3.445174 4.531392 5.947716 7.952567 10.754236 14.585313 20.315718
2025-01-19 2.937546 3.986754 5.404949 7.491735 10.534461 14.888320 21.734868
2025-01-26 2.687444 3.755715 5.249265 7.529009 10.990743 16.165752 24.710712
2025-02-02 2.541614 3.650567 5.250958 7.780122 11.772395 17.997760 28.778228
2025-02-09 2.389037 3.516655 5.191059 7.921797 12.387605 19.627486 32.733064
2025-02-16 2.246748 3.382268 5.113131 8.019279 12.931269 21.190552 36.783278
2025-02-23 2.119347 3.257643 5.035564 8.103267 13.452235 22.764066 41.067992
2025-03-02 1.942207 3.038350 4.786162 7.872822 13.400386 23.315954 43.503874
2025-03-09 1.816339 2.891203 4.640471 7.801951 13.616675 24.367002 47.049511
2025-03-16 1.694664 2.744383 4.487816 7.712452 13.804750 25.417779 50.829429
2025-03-23 1.654159 2.731052 4.561007 8.035405 14.803374 28.164437 58.659482
2025-03-30 1.564001 2.624603 4.462068 8.029198 15.161908 29.674474 64.033146
2025-04-06 1.473097 2.509611 4.337871 7.961540 15.387193 30.932283 69.040290
2025-04-13 1.334762 2.299955 4.025678 7.500430 14.755368 30.278451 69.370301
2025-04-20 1.276376 2.231373 3.968639 7.537819 15.171161 31.971189 75.785526
2025-04-27 1.249793 2.219236 4.016053 7.789279 16.073654 34.880787 85.869748
2025-05-04 1.211198 2.181543 4.011075 7.931145 16.749446 37.354935 95.291327
2025-05-11 1.169998 2.135841 3.986600 8.028758 17.334980 39.692033 104.809953
2025-05-18 1.130024 2.089664 3.957417 8.112858 17.897852 42.050867 114.886788
2025-05-25 1.060105 1.979999 3.792113 7.882106 17.683680 42.397113 118.995279